Gulbis - Federer Tip | Football tips | Sport tips | Basketball tips | Tennis tips

Match preview: Gulbis - Federer 2010-05-14 (ATP Masters Madrid)

Fired up

Ernests Gulbis has finally decided to start showing his full potential. We`ve all known that this guy possessed great talent in the past, but he rarely showed it, as he was too preoccupied with the off-court activities as a result of the fame around him, instead of focusing on what he knows best - playing tennis. Since this clay-court season began, he clearly started playing better, and personally admitted he was spending more time in the practices, so the results were immediately visible. He played terrific both in Barcelona and in Rome, where he was barely stopped in the semis by Nadal in 3 tough sets, showing some extremely aggressive and determined performances. He continued the same in Madrid, beating good clay-courter Montanes and Youzhny without many problems, after which he also didn`t struggle against Lopez crushing him in the 2nd set tie break, and this focused play and the confidence he`s got will surely get him far here and in the upcoming tournies. bet now

His time has passed

Federer has played a great last season. As a matter of fact, he played terrific tennis at the very beginning of this year too, all until he broke Pete Sampras` record for the most GS titles ever won, and after that he took a 2-month long break and after coming back he was just clearly not in the same shape anymore, lacking his well-known sharpness on the court and with a bit weaker physical condition, which all resulted in a few disappointing defeats he suffered in the recent tournaments, such as the one to Gulbis in Rome, or the one to Montanes in the last week`s Estoril semifinals. As you all know, he is defending the Madrid title from last year here and on the way to a potentially new title, he so far didn`t have much trouble, beating weak Becker in two sets (despite struggling in that match as well), and then crushing Wawrinka, who was obviously showing too much respect for his countryman this time and was punished severely, committing a bunch of unforced errors himself. online betting

No revenge

Although I`m sure that the vast majority of the punters will be expecting Federer`s win here, I have to say I don`t think that is possible. The amount of underestimation they have for Gulbis in this case is just enormous and is based on something totally unknown to me. Some clear facts I know before this match are: Federer is in average shape and is lacking motivation, while Gulbis is playing terrific tennis and is eager for new successes. Federer indeed might want to revenge for the loss he previously suffered to the Latvian but I don`t think this will be an easy match at all, and Gulbis has got a lot more chances than the bookies are telling us. These 3.25 offered on his win translate into 30.7% and I can only laugh at that percentage as this game will at least be 45-55% in Fed`s favor, if not even equal. Gulbis is playing some really powerful tennis, with very few mistakes and if he only manages to keep his focus till the end against a lot more famous opponent, I think he could win even in 2 sets. Surely, a bet with small stakes on the Latvian is worth a try. GL. bet online

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Prediction:

Tip: 1
Odd: 3.25
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 3 /10
Tipster: Black-Shadow

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Staked: EUR 85 / Won: EUR 112.25 / Profit: EUR 27.25
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